Ratings:  Roma 1.82 Draw 3.57 Fiorentina 5.88

Bookmakers:  Roma 1.67 Draw 4.10 Fiorentina 6.25

Ratings Summary:

The ratings are suggesting there is not much value in Romas current price.

STATS

Roma

Last 15 Home Games

 W10 D3 L2

• Over 2.5 goals 8 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 7 matches
• Both teams scored in 10 matches
• Scored 1^st in 11 games

Last 10 Home v Bottom Half Sides

W8 D2 L0

• Over 2.5 goals 4 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 matches
• Both teams scored in 6 matches

Fiorentina

Last 15 Away Games

W2 D6 L7

• Over 2.5 goals 5 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 10 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 matches
• Scored 1^st in 1 Games

Last 10 Away v Juve, Roma, Inter & AC Milan

W1 D2 L7

• Over 2.5 goals 4 match
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 matches
• Both teams scored in 6 matches

Head to Head at Roma

• Roma 5 Draw 0 Fiorentina 0
• Over 2.5 goals in 3 matches
• Both teams scored in 3 matches

Ratings:  Lazio 2.04 Draw 3.45 Napoli 4.55

Ratings:  Lazio 2.65 Draw 3.30 Napoli 2.80

Ratings Summary:

The ratings are suggesting there is some value in backing Juventus.

STATS

Lazio

Last 15 Home Games

 W8 D4 L3

• Over 2.5 goals 6 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 9 matches
• Both teams scored in 6 matches
• Scored 1^st in 8 games

Last 10 Home v Top 6 Sides

W4 D2 L4

• Over 2.5 goals 4 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 matches
• Both teams scored in 5 matches

Napoli

Last 15 Away Games

W5 D6 L4

• Over 2.5 goals 9 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 matches
• Both teams scored in 9 matches
• Scored 1^st in 6 Games

Last 10 Away v Top 6 Sides

W1 D5 L4

• Over 2.5 goals 4 match
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 matches

Head to Head at Lazio

• Juventus 2 Draw 1 Lazio 1
• Over 2.5 goals in 1 matches
• Both teams scored in 2 matches

The ratings are suggesting that there is some good value in backing Lazio at their current price of 9/5 (2.80) with Boylesports.

If you do fancy Lazio to do well then we would certainly suggest keeping the draw on your side and Lazio can be backed +0 goals on Asian Handicap at a shade under Evens (1.99) with 188 bet. Once again this looks to offer some very good value.

The draw is priced at 23/10 (3.30) with Victor Chandler and although this offers not much value it has to be given some very serious consideration as Napoli have drawn 5 of their last 10 away games to Top 6 sides.

Napoli are priced at 9/5 (2.80) with Victor Chandler and this offers no real value. If you do fancy Napoli to do well then as with Lazio you are best keeping the draw on your side and they can be backed +0 goals on Asian Handicap at 19/20 (1.95) with Stan James but in truth this makes for little appeal.

As far as goals are concerned then there is a bias to 2 or less and Under 2.5 goals has been seen in 8 of Lazios last 12 home games and in 6 of Napolis last 10 away to Top 6 sides. Under 2.5 goals can be backed at 4/5 (1.80) with Victor Chandler and this looks to offer some reasonable value.

Napoli have only won 1 match in their last 10 away to Top 6 sides and it may well be worth considering backing Lazio to score the 1^st goal of the game as Napoli have concede the 1^st goal of the game in 7 of their last 10 away to Top 6 sides. Lazio can be backed at Evens (2.00) with Ladbrokes to score the 1^st goal of the game and this looks to offer some good value.

There could be a tight start to the game and Napoli have been level at the break in 8 of their last 10 away games to Top 6 sides (7 x 0-0). The half time draw can be backed at 11/10 (2.10) with Bet 365 and the 0-0 Half time draw can be backed at 15/8 (2.88) with Corals. Alternately the 1^st goal of the game to be scored after 27 minutes can be backed at 19/20 (1.95) with Victor Chandler. All of the above look to offer value with preference given to the latter.

 Match Verdict Under 2.5 goals  4/5 (1.80) with Victor Chandler

Ratings:  Juventus 1.64 Draw 3.85 Napoli 7.70

Ratings:  Juventus 1.70 Draw 3.80 Napoli 6.25

Ratings Summary:

The ratings are pretty much in line with what the bookmakers are offering.

STATS

Juventus

Last 15 Home Games

 W9 D6 L0

• Over 2.5 goals 7 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 8 matches
• Both teams scored in 9 matches
• Scored 1^st in 12 games

Last 10 Home v Top 6 Sides

W4 D3 L3

• Over 2.5 goals 6 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 4 matches
• Both teams scored in 6 matches

Napoli

Last 15 Away Games

W5 D7 L3

• Over 2.5 goals 9 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 matches
• Both teams scored in 10 matches
• Scored 1^st in 7 Games

Last 10 Away v Juve, AC Milan & Roma

W3 D3 L4

• Over 2.5 goals 7 match
• Under 2.5 goals in 3 matches
• Both teams scored in 6 matches

Head to Head at Juventus

• Juventus 2 Draw 1 Napoli 1
• Over 2.5 goals in 2 matches
• Both teams scored in 2 matches

The ratings are suggesting that there is some good value in backing Juventus to win this match and Juve can be backed at 17/20 (1.85) with Ladbrokes and this looks to offer some good value.

Napoli will undoubtedly be a tough nut to crack and if you do want to improve on the current price then you can dutch Juve to win by 1 or 2 goals and this pays 13/10 (2.30) This looks very worthy of consideration as Juve have won 7 of their last 9 home victories by this margin and Napoli have lost all 3 of their away defeats by the 1 or 2 goal margin.

The draw can be backed at 13/5 (3.60) with Victor Chandler and although this does not offer great value it certainly should not be discounted.

Napoli are priced at 19/5 (4.80) with Victor Chandler and does not offer that much value given Juves unbeaten run. If you do fancy Napoli to do well then you should certainly keep the draw on your side and Napoli can be backed +0.5 goals on the Asian Handicap  at 17/16 (2.06) with 188 Bet.

As far as goals are concerned then there is certainly a bias to 3 or more and this has been seen in 7 of Napolis last 10 away to Big 4 sides and in 6 of Juves last 10 at home to Top 6 sides. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at Evens (2.00) with Ladbrokes and this looks a reasonable option.

Both teams to score is also worthy of interest as both teams have scored in 8 of Napolis last 10 away games and in 6 of Juves last 10 at home to Top 6 sides. Both teams to score can be backed at 5/6 (1.83) with Ladbrokes and this looks reasonable value.

2/3 goals also looks of interest especially in the case of Juve where this has been the total in 10 of their last 13 home games. In the case of Napoli it has been the total in 6 of their last 10 away games. 2/3 goals can be backed at 19/20 (1.95) with Bet 365 and it covers a lot of scenarios.

There could be a tight start to this game and Juve have been level at the break in 6 of their last 10 at home to Top 6 sides and Napoli have been drawing at the break in 8 of their last 14 away games. The half time draw can be backed at 6/5 (2.20) with bet 365 and looks a good option.

Finally and of more appeal maybe the 2^nd half to be the highest scoring and the 2^nd half has been the highest scoring in 7 of Juves last 10 at home to top 6 sides and in 11 of Napolis last 14 home games. The 2^nd half to be the highest scoring can be backed at 11/10 (2.10) with Corals and this looks to offer good value given the above.

Match Verdict – 2^nd half to be the highest scoring  11/10 (2.10) with Corals

Ratings:  Juventus 1.64 Draw 3.85 Inter Milan 7.70

Ratings:  Juventus 1.70 Draw 3.80 Inter Milan 6.25

Ratings Summary:

The ratings are pretty much in line with what the bookmakers are offering.

STATS

Juventus

Last 15 Home Games

 W8 D7 L0

• Over 2.5 goals 8 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 7 matches
• Both teams scored in 10 matches
• Scored 1^st in 12 games

Last 10 Home v AC Milan, Inter & Roma

W5 D2 L3

• Over 2.5 goals 4 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 matches
• Both teams scored in 5 matches

Inter Milan

Last 15 Away Games

W7 D2 L6

• Over 2.5 goals 6 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 9 matches
• Both teams scored in 7 matches
• Scored 1^st in 10 Games

Last 10 Away v Juve, AC Milan & Roma

W3 D1 L6

• Over 2.5 goals 6 match
• Under 2.5 goals in 4 matches
• Both teams scored in 3 matches

Head to Head at Juventus

• Juventus 2 Draw 2 Inter Milan 0
• Over 2.5 goals in 1 matches
• Both teams scored in 3 matches

The ratings are very much in line with what the bookmakers are offering and Juventus are yet to be defeated this season and Inter have not beaten them in their last 4 visits to Turin. Juventus can be backed at 7/10 (1.70) with Ladbrokes and this offers some small value.

If you do fancy Juve to do well and win then this price can be improved by dutching them to win by 1 0r 2 goals. All 5 of Juves last 5 victories to Big 4 sides have come by this margin as has 5 of Inters last 6 away defeats. Dutching Juve to win by 1 or 2 goals pays a shade over 6/5 (2.22) and is worthy of consideration.

The draw can be backed at 14/5 (3.80) with Victor Chandler and although this offers not much value it has to be given some serious consideration given Juves home form and the recent head to heads.

Inter can be backed at 21/4 (6.25) with Victor Chandler and this does not offer much value but if you do fancy Inter to come away with some sort of result then your best option is to back them on the Asian Handicap +0.75 goals at 19/17 (2.12) with 188 Bet and this means should Inter lose by the single goal then you only lose half of your stake.

As far as goals are concerned then there is a bias to 2 or less and this has been seen in 3 of the last 4 head to heads at Juve and in 8 of Inters last 10 away games. Under 2.5 goals is priced at 4/5 (1.80) with Victor Chandler and this looks to offer some good value.

Finally we should expect a tight start to the match and Juve have been level at the break in 6 of their last 8 home games to Big 4 sides (4 x 0-0)  and in 7 of inters last 9 away games (6 x 0-0) this then leaves us with a number of options. The half time draw can be backed at 5/4 (2.25) with Corals and the 0-0 half time score can be backed at 15/8 (2.88) again with Corals.

Alternately the 1^st goal of the game to be scored after 28 minutes can be backed at Evens (2.00) with Corals. All of the above look reasonable with preference given to the 1^st goal to come after 28 minutes

Match Verdict -  1^st goal of the game to be scored after 28 minutes  Evens (2.00) with Corals.

Ratings:  Fiorentina 3.57 Draw 3.33 Juventus 2.38

Ratings:  Fiorentina 4.00 Draw 3.25 Juventus 2.05

Ratings Summary:

The ratings are pretty much in line with what the bookmakers are offering.

STATS

Fiorentina

Last 15 Home Games

 W8 D4 L3

• Over 2.5 goals 9 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 matches
• Both teams scored in 7 matches
• Scored 1^st in 11 games

Last 10 Home v Juve, AC Milan, Inter & Roma

W1 D4 L5

• Over 2.5 goals 7 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 3 matches
• Both teams scored in 6 matches

Juventus

Last 15 Away Games

W5 D9 L1

• Over 2.5 goals 2 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 13 matches
• Both teams scored in 6 matches
• Scored 1^st in 5 Games

Last 10 Away v Mid Table Sides

W2 D8 L0

• Over 2.5 goals 1 match
• Under 2.5 goals in 9 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 matches

Head to Head at Fiorentina

• Fiorentina 0 Draw 3 Juventus 1
• Over 2.5 goals in 1 matches

• Both teams scored in 3 matches

The ratings are very much in line with what the bookmakers are offering in a game which looks very difficult to find the winner.

Fiorentina can be backed at 3/1 (4.00) with bet 365 and this looks to offer some reasonable value. There is a strong draw bias to this game and looking at the bare stats it will be very difficult for Fiorentina to win this game. If you do fancy Fiorentina to do well them your best option is certainly to keep the draw on your side and Fiorentina can be backed +0.5 goals on the Asian Handicap  at 8/9 (1.89) with 188 Bet.

The draw can be backed at 9/4 (3.25) with Sporting Bet and although strictly this offers no real value it has to be given some very serious consideration.  Especially when you consider 3 of the recent 4 head to heads have ended level.

Juventus are priced at 21/20 (2.05) with Stan James and again looking at Juventus recent away record to Mid Table sides W2 D8 L0 this does not look to offer that good value.

However they will be desperate to stay in touch with leaders AC Milan and if you do fancy Juventus to do well and win the game then dutching them to win by 1 or 2 goals makes good sense as Fiorentina have lost all 5 of their last 5 home defeats to big 4 sides by this margin. Dutching the Juventus win by 1 or 2 goals pays 13/10 (2.30) and looks worthy of consideration.

As far as goals are concerned then there are some mixed stats. However there have been 2 or less goals seen in 13 of Juventus last 15 away games and the 8/11 (1.73) offered by Victor Chandler for Under 2.5 goals seems a reasonable option.

Finally we should certainly expect a tight start to the game and Fiorentina have been level at the break in 7 of their last 12 home games (4 x 0-0) and in 7 of Juves last 15 away games (all 7 0-0). This leaves us with a number of options. The half time draw can be backed at 11/10 (2.10) with Bet 365 with the 0-0 half time draw available to back at 17/10 (2.70) with Boylesports.

Moving on from this the 1^st goal of the game to be scored after 27 minutes can be backed at 20/21 (1.95) with Boylesports. All of the above look to offer some value with preference given to the 1^st goal after 27 minutes.

Match Verdict 

1^st goal of the game to be scored after 27 minutes  20/21 (1.95) with Boylesports.

Osasuna v Athletic Bilbao

Ratings:  Osasuna 2.44 Draw 3.33 Athletic Bilbao 3.45

Ratings:  Osasuna 2.80 Draw 3.25 Athletic Bilbao 2.80

Ratings Summary:

The ratings are suggesting there is some small value in backing Osasuna.

STATS

Osasuna

Last 15 Home Games

 W9 D4 L2

• Over 2.5 goals 8 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 7 matches
• Both teams scored in 98 matches
• Scored 1^st in 17 games

Last 10 Home v Top Half Sides (Not Including Real & Barca)

W5 D3 L2

• Over 2.5 goals 3 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 7 matches
• Both teams scored in 3 matches

Athletic Bilbao

Last 15 Away Games

W4 D6 L5

• Over 2.5 goals 10 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 13 matches
• Scored 1^st in 7 Games

Last 10 Away v Top Half Sides (Not Including Real & Barca)

W3 D1 L6

• Over 2.5 goals 6 match
• Under 2.5 goals in 4 matches
• Both teams scored in 7 matches

Head to Head at Osasuna

• Osasuna 2 Draw 2 Athletic Bilbao 1
• Over 2.5 goals in 2 matches
• Both teams scored in 3 matches

The ratings are suggesting that there is some small value in backing Osasuna to win this match and looking at how both sides have performed against similar opposition we would tend to agree.

Osasuna can be backed at 19/10 (2.90) with Victor chandler and this looks to offer some value. There is a fairly strong draw bias to the game and if you do fancy Osasuna to do well then a better option could be to back them on the Asian Handicap +0 goals off scratch at 19/17 (2.12) with 188 Bet.

The draw can be backed at 23/10 (3.30) with victor Chandler and although this does not offer much value it certainly should be given some serious consideration when looking at who should win this game.

Bilbao can be backed at 7/4 (2.75) with Stan James and does not offer that much value. If you do fancy Bilbao to do well then again we would certainly look to keep the draw on our side and Bilbao can be backed on the Asian Handicap off scratch + 0 goals at 82/100 (1.82) with Ladbrokes. However again this offers no real value.

As far as goals are concerned then there are some mixed stats although there is some value in looking for  2 or under and this has been seen in 7 of Osasunas last 9 home games to top half sides excluding Barcelona & Real Madrid. Under 2.5 goals can be backed at a shade under 4/5 (1.79) with 188 Bet.

Both teams to score looks a strong option especially in the case of Bilbao as both teams have scored in 13 of their last 15 home games. Both teams to score can be backed at 4/5 (1.80) with Bet 365 and this looks a strong option.

Finally there could be a tight start to the game and Bilbao have been level at Half time in 12 of their last 15 away games and in 8 of their last 9 away to top half sides minus Real & Barca. The half time draw can be backed at (2.10) 11/10 with Bet 365 and this looks a reasonable option given the above.

Match Verdict 

Both teams to score  4/5 (1.80) with Bet 365

Ratings:  Gijon 3.57 Draw 3.33 Seville 2.38

Ratings:  Gijon 3.50 Draw 3.40 Seville 2.20

Ratings Summary:

The ratings are pretty much in line with what the bookmakers are offering.

STATS

Gijon

Last 15 Home Games

 W5 D5 L5

• Over 2.5 goals 7 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 8 matches
• Both teams scored in 9 matches
• Scored 1^st in 14 games

Last 10 Home v Mid Table Sides

W7 D2 L1

• Over 2.5 goals 4 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 6 matches
• Both teams scored in 6 matches

Seville

Last 15 Away Games

W4 D6 L5

• Over 2.5 goals 6 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 9 matches
• Both teams scored in 7 matches
• Scored 1^st in 5 Games

Last 10 Away v Bottom Half

W2 D4 L4

• Over 2.5 goals 3 match
• Under 2.5 goals in 7 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 matches

Head to Head at Gijon

• Gijon 2 Draw 0 Seville 1
• Over 2.5 goals in 0 matches
• Both teams scored in 0 matches

The ratings are very much in line with what the bookmakers are offering in what looks a tough game to find the winner. When looking at Seville this season they are a Mid table side but when looking at how they have performed in previous seasons we are assuming that they are a Top half side.

Gijon are priced at 5/2 (3.50) with Stan James and this looks correctly priced. However we would certainly be looking to keep the draw on our side and if you do fancy Seville to do well then we would certainly look to keep the draw on our side and Gijon can be backed +0.25 goals at a shade under Evens (1.88) with 188 bet. This means should the game end a draw then you receive half of your odds.

The draw is priced at 5/2 (3.50) with Victor Chandler and this certainly offers some good value and is definitely worthy of consideration.

Seville are priced at 5/4 (2.25) with Victor Chandler and again this is priced about right.  If you do fancy Seville to do well and win this game then dutching them to win by 1 or 2 goals seems a reasonable option as all 3 of Gijons last 3 home defeats to top half sides excluding Real & Barca have been by this margin as has both of Sevilles last 2 away victories to bottom half sides. Dutching the Seville victory by 1 or 2 goals pays 8/5 (2.60) and looks a reasonable option.

As far as goals are concerned then there is a definite bias to 2 or less and this has been seen in 7 of Gijons last 11 home games and in 8 of Sevilles last 11 away games. There has also been Under 2.5 goals in all 3 of the recent head to heads at Gijon. Under 2.5 goals can be backed at 4/5 (1.80) with Victor Chandler and this offers some good value.

There is very mixed stats with both teams to score and we would leave this market alone.

2/3 goals makes some sense and has been seen in all 8 of Gijons last 8 home games and in 5 of their last 6 at home to top half sides excluding Real & Barca. This has also been seen in all 5 of Sevilles last 5 away games. 2/3 goals can be backed at 20/21 (1.95) with Bet 365 and this looks a reasonable option.

Finally there could be a tight start to this match and Seville have been drawing at the break in 9 of their last 12 away games this season. When playing Top half sides excluding Real & Barca Gijon have been level at the break in 5 of their last 9 home games. The half time draw can be backed at 11/10 (2.10) with Bet 365 and this looks to offer some reasonable value.

Match Verdict

Under 2.5 goals  at 4/5 (1.80) with Victor Chandler

Ratings:  Inter Milan 2.17 Draw 3.45 Catania 4.00

Ratings:  Inter Milan 1.75 Draw 3.70 Catania 5.50

Ratings Summary:

The ratings are stating that there is not much value in Inters current price.

STATS

Inter Milan

Last 15 Home Games

 W8 D2 L5

• Over 2.5 goals 10 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 7 matches
• Scored 1^st in 6 games

Last 10 Home v Mid Table Sides

W9D1 L0

• Over 2.5 goals 6 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 4 matches
• Both teams scored in 5 matches

Catania

Last 15 Away Games

W3 D6 L6

• Over 2.5 goals 10 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 10 matches
• Scored 1^st in 6 Games

Last 10 Away v Inter, AC Milan, Juve & Roma

W1 D3 L6

• Over 2.5 goals 8 match
• Under 2.5 goals in 2 matches
• Both teams scored in 8 matches

Head to Head at Inter

• Inter Milan 5 Draw 0 Catania 0
• Over 2.5 goals in 4 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 matches

The ratings are suggesting that there is not value in backing Inter to win this game and they are on a dismal run at the moment they and  have not won in 6 Serie A matches.  Inter can be backed at 3/4 (1.75) with 188 bet and although this does not look to offer any real value it should also be remembered that Inter have won all of their last 5 home matches to Catania

If you do wish to improve on this price then you have a couple of realistic options. Dutching the Inter win by 1 or 2 goals makes some sense as 7 of their previous 9 home wins against mid table sides have been by this margin as has 5 of Catanias last 6 away defeats to the Big 4 sides. Dutching the Inter Milan win by 1 or 2 goals pays a shade under 23/20 (2.14) and looks a reasonable option.

Alternately Inter can be backed -0.75 goals on the Asian handicap at a shade over 20/21 (1.96) with Ladbrokes and this again looks reasonable. This means that should Inter only win by 1 goal then your receive half of your odds. So if you are convinced Inter will win this game then you can be bolder with your staking.

The draw can be backed at 11/4 (3.75) with Ladbrokes and in truth this offers some value.

Catania can be backed at 9/2 (5.50) with Bet 365 and again this offers some value. However if you believe Inters poor run will continue then you best option is to back Catania on the Asian Handicap -1 goal at 3/4 (1.75) with 188 bet .

As far as goals are concerned then we should expect a few and there have been 3 or more goals in 10 of Inters last 15 home games and in6 of their last 9 at home to mid table sides. In the case of Catania again Over 2.5 goals has been seen in 10 of their last 15 away games and in 5 of their last 9 away to Big 4 sides.  Also when looking at the head to heads there has been 3 or more goals scored in 4 of the last 5 head to heads at the San Siro.

Over 2.5 goals looks a strong option and can be backed at 10/11 (1.91) with William Hills.

Indeed it may worth be looking for 4 or more goals as this has been seen in 10 of Inters last 15 home games. Over 3.5 goals can be backed at 11/5 (3.20) with Corals and again offers good value.

Both teams to score offers some value and this has been seen in 4 of the last 5 head to heads and in 8 of Catanias last 10 away to Big 4 sides. Both teams to score can be backed at 4/5 (1.80) with Bet 365 and again this looks worthy of consideration.

Match Verdict

Inter Milan-0.75 goals  Asian handicap  20/21 (1.96) with Ladbrokes

Ratings:  Seville 2.44 Draw 3.33 Atletico Madrid 3.45

Ratings:  Seville 2.40 Draw 3.40 Atletico Madrid 3.20

Ratings Summary:

The ratings are pretty much in line with what the bookmakers are offering.

STATS

Seville

Last 15 Home Games

 W8 D2 L5

• Over 2.5 goals 11 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 4 matches
• Both teams scored in 10 matches
• Scored 1^st in 10 games

Last 10 Home v Top Half Sides Excluding Barca & Real Madrid

W6 D1 L3

• Over 2.5 goals 5 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 5 matches

Atletico Madrid

Last 15 Away Games

W4 D4 L7

• Over 2.5 goals 8 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 7 matches
• Both teams scored in 6 matches
• Scored 1^st in 8 Games

Last 10 Away v Top Half Sides Excluding Barca & Real Madrid

W3 D3 L4

• Over 2.5 goals 5 match
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 6 matches

Head to Head at Seville

• Seville 4 Draw 0 Atletico Madrid 1
• Over 2.5 goals in 4 matches
• Both teams scored in 4 matches

The ratings are very much in line with what the bookmakers are offering in a game that looks difficult to find the winner and Seville do have a very good home record against Atletico Madrid winning 4 of the last 5 meetings in  Seville. Indeed they have not been beaten by Atletico in 12 of their last 13 home matches in all competitions.

Seville can be backed at 24/17 (2.41) with 188 Bet to win the game and this looks a reasonable option. The ratings indicate there is a fairly strong draw bias to this game and if you do want to take this into consideration then Seville can be backed on the Asian Handicap -0.25 goals at 19/17 (2.12) with 188 bet and this means should the game end a draw then you lose half of your stake .If you are convinced that Seville will not lose this match then you could be more aggressive with your staking.

The draw can be backed at 12/5 (3.40) with Stan James and this offers some reasonable value and should certainly be considered when looking at who may win this game.

Atletico can be backed at 11/5 (3.20) with Ladbrokes and they are undefeated in their last 5 away games. If you do fancy Atletico to continue this current good run then your best option is to back them +0.25 goals on the Asian Handicap at 33/40 (1.82) with Bet 365. This means should the game end a draw then you receive half of your odds.

As far as goals are concerned then we should expect a few and there has been 3 or more goals in 9 of Atleticos last 14 away to top half sides and in 11 of Sevilles last 15 home games. Indeed there have been 3 or more goals in 4 of the 2 sides previous 5 head to heads at Seville. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at 11/10 (2.10) with Ladbrokes and this looks a reasonable option given the above.

Both teams to score also seems a reasonable shout having again been seen in 10 of Atleticos last 14 away to Top half sides and in 10 of Sevilles last 15 home games. This has also been seen in 4 of the recent 5 head to heads at Seville. Both teams to score can be backed at 4/5 (1.80) with Ladbrokes and seems again another decent shout.

Finally there could be a tight start to this game and Atletico have been level at the break in 8 of their opening 12 away matches and although this trend is not as strong with Seville who have been level in 3 of the last 6 home games. The 11/10 (2.10) offered by bet 365 for the 1^st half to be drawn still looks to make for some appeal.

Match Verdict

Over 2.5 goals  11/10 (2.10) with Ladbrokes

Ratings:  Napoli 2.22 Draw 3.45 Inter 3.85

Bookmakers:  Napoli 2.20 Draw 3.40 Inter 4.33

Ratings Summary:

The ratings are pretty much in line with what the bookmakers are offering.

STATS

Napoli

Last 15 Home Games

 W6 D6 L3

• Over 2.5 goals 7 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 8 matches
• Both teams scored in 9 matches
• Scored 1^st in 6 games

Last 10 Home v Big 4 Sides

W4 D4 L2

• Over 2.5 goals 7 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 3 matches
• Both teams scored in 7 matches

Inter

Last 15 Away Games

W6 D2 L7

• Over 2.5 goals 7 matches
• Under 2.5 goals in 8 matches
• Both teams scored in 7 matches
• Scored 1^st in 9 Games

Last 10 Away v Grade Top 6 Sides

W1 D4 L5

• Over 2.5 goals 5 match
• Under 2.5 goals in 5 matches
• Both teams scored in 6 matches

Head to Head at Napoli

• Napoli 2 Draw 2 Inter 0
• Over 2.5 goals in 0 matches
• Both teams scored in 1 match

The ratings are very much in line with what the bookmakers are offering in a game that looks tough to call. However Inter do have influential defender Maicon out and when he has been missing before Inter have lost 4 of their last 5 away games to top 6 opposition and Inter also score 25% less goals

Napoli can be backed at 10/11 (1.91) with Boylesports to win the game and this looks a reasonable call.

The draw can be backed at 13/5 (3.60) with bet 365 and this offers some good  value and has to be given serious consideration when looking at who may win this game and it should be remembered that the last 2 head to head encounters at Napoli have ended all square.

Inter can be backed at 7/2 (4.50) with Victor Chandler and this looks to offer some small value. However if you do fancy Inter to do well then you are certainly best keeping the draw on your side and Inter can be backed +0.5 goals on the Asian Handicap at 41/40 (2.02) with Bet 365

As far as goals are concerned then there has been 2 or less in all 4 recent head to heads at Napoli and Under 2.5 goals can be backed at 4/5 (1.80) with Victor Chandler and although 7 of Napolis last 10 home games to big 4 sides have seen 3 or more goals with Maicon missing 2 or less goals does make for some appeal here.

The No on both teams to score also makes for appeal here as both teams have scored in only 1 of the previous 4 head to heads at Napoli and Napoli have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 matches. The No on both teams to score can be backed at 10/11 (1.91) with William Hills and this looks a reasonable option given the sides recent form against each other.

Finally and going completely against the grain it may well be worth looking at Inter to score the 1st goal of the game as they have found the net 1^st in 9 of their last 12 away matches and when you see Napoli have conceded 1^st in 6 of their last 15 home games the 11/4 (2.75) offered by Bet 365 does look to make for some appeal.

Today’s Free Bet Advice

Under 2.5 goals  4/5 (1.80) with Victor Chandler