Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

Both-Teams-To-Score-Infographic

Click To View Large Image

EMBED THIS IMAGE ON YOUR SITE – Just copy and paste the code at the end of this post.

 

 

Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

Please feel free to leave your comments below, you can also share the infographic at the top of the page by placing on your own blog or website should you wish, just copy the code below and paste on your site.

Embed This Image On Your Site (copy code below):

Enter the text or HTML code here

Sorry, comments are closed for this post.

Both Teams To Score True Odds Revealed – The Ultimate Guide

49 Flares 49 Flares ×

 

You probably already know what the Both Teams to score market is? But are you aware that if you bet on this market regularly there is a fair chance you will be making some poor selections along the way.

In this article I will show you how the odds are stacked against you particularly if you are one of the many punters betting on the Both Teams to Score Multiple bets such as Yankees, Accumulators.

 

Fans Love Goals

The both teams to score market are now very much on trend, with the Betfred Goals Galore market which has proved to be extremely popular with punters. The reason that this market is so popular is because punters and fans alike love goals and the perception is that matches are full of them when in reality scoring a goal in a football match is a relatively rare event.

Also with this bet, the often overlooked reality is, unless you are betting to a near 100% book the odds are very much in favour of the bookmaker purely and simply because of the Overround which can in this market be as much as 10%.

Just as an example let us show you a Swedish League match between Hacken and AIK and the various bookmakers’ prices on offer. Here we can see that the bookmakers over round on the majority of the firms is around 7% with Marathon bet offering the smallest margin at around 5% and Fortuna Win the biggest margin at over 10%.

If you fail to shop around and get best odds you will find this a difficult market to get the better of.

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Both Teams To Score Odds Comparrison

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE A STATISTICAL BREAKDOWN

First we will take a look at the basic stats over the four major European  leagues and here we will look at the last 10 seasons of the English Premier League and the last eight seasons of the Italian Serie A, German Bundesliga and the Spanish La Liga.

When looking at the stats we can see the following percentage of games saw the Yes on both teams scoring

  • English Premier League 50.50%
  • German Bundesliga 55.70%
  • Spanish La Liga 51.00%
  • Italian Serie A 51.40%

You can see that, when looking at over 12,300 matches both teams scored in 6392 of these games which equates to 51.80% or odds of 1.93. So effectively the chances of both teams finding the back of the net is around even money or 50%.

When you dig a little deeper into these stats you can see that there are some common trends running through the four major European leagues and we shall now investigate this further.

GRADING THE SIDES

First we will split the leagues down into four grades.

Grade A: Title contenders and those teams that qualify for the Champions League.

Grade B: Teams that qualify for the Europa League, but are not quite consistent enough to make the top tier.

Grade C: Mid to lower table sides

Grade D: Finally we have the bottom six sides.

 

MATCHES WHERE THE TOP TWO GRADED  SIDES MEET BOTH HOME & AWAY

Firstly we shall have a look at what happens when Tier one and two sides meet each other both home and away.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

345

188

54.49

1.83

SERIE A

306

178

58.16

1.72

BUNDESLIGA

386

240

62.17

1.61

LA LIGA

236

135

57.20

1.75

 

Looking at the above chart we can certainly see that indeed these games are full of goals with over 60% of German matches involving the top graded sides seeing both teams finding the net.

Obviously these games are involving sides that employ the best strikers and both teams are very keen to win these games and probably in many cases, take a win or bust attitude.

 

TOP GRADED A&B SIDES AT HOME TO LOWERR GRADED C&D SIDES

Next we  look and see how the top sides perform at home when facing the bottom 2 graded sides and this gives us the following -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

% BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

762

340

44.61

2.24

SERIE A

701

356

50.78

1.97

BUNDESLIGA

588

288

48.97

2.04

LA LIGA

644

314

48.75

2.05

 

Here we can see a drastic difference especially in England where only 44.61 percentage of matches ended up with both teams scoring. The probability here is that the bottom graded sides go into these matches with a survival mentality and many times they are putting 11 men behind the ball and hoping for damage limitation.

 

C & D GRADED SIDES AT HOME TO TOP GRADED A & B SIDES

Now we will look at matches where the bottom two grades face the top two  at home -

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

845

419

49.58

2.01

SERIE A

647

314

48.53

2.06

BUNDESLIGA

577

325

56.32

1.77

LA LIGA

655

330

50.38

1.98

 

Here again we see some consistency and apart from in Germany where both team found the net in over 56% of the matches it is ALMOST CERTAIN THAT BOOKMAKERS WERE NOT OFFERING THE ABOVE PRICES ON BOTH TEAMS SCORING

BOTTOM SIDES AT HOME TO FELLOW BOTTOM SIDES

Finally in this section we will take a look at how the bottom grade C & D teams  fair against the same C & D graded teams.

 

LEAGUE

GAMES

BOTH   TEAMS SCORED

%   BOTH TEAMS SCORED

EQUIVALENT   ODDS

 

PREMIER LEAGUE

327

171

52.29

1.91

SERIE A

340

160

47.00

2.12

BUNDESLIGA

100

57

57.00

1.75

LA LIGA

225

126

56.00

1.78

 

Here the real standout figures are in Germany and Spain. Similarly to when the top sides meet each other these two sets of sides will view these games as must win and therefore tend to be a little more open.

The approach in Italy would look to see a must not lose attitude to the game

So as we can see from the above scenarios the only time we see a real majority in both teams scoring both teams scoring tends to be when the top two A & B graded sides meet each other and you can almost certainly guarantee that the bookmakers factor this in.

 

PROFILING A BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE GAME

When looking at a suitable game for both teams to score it is certainly interesting to see how the away side performs in the 1st half.

Interestingly it would appear that if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then your chances of landing the bet are obviously seriously reduced.

In the table below we can see the number of matches where the away side has failed to score in the first half and how many then went on to see Both Teams finding the net.

 

LEAGUE

NUMBER   OF GAMES WHERE AWAY TEAM DID NOT SCORE IN THE 1st HALF

NUMBER   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

%   OF GAMES BOTH TEAMS SCORED

PREMIER LEAGUE

2345

798

34.02

SERIE A

1563

657

34.32

BUNDESLIGA

1363

543

38.23

LA LIGA

1834

608

33.15

 

So if the away side do not find the net in the 1st half then there is roughly a 66% 1.50 chance that the game will end up with the NO on both teams to score.

This is where profiling your teams comes in very handy and indeed if you do fancy both teams to score then ideally you are looking for an away side that has a good track record of finding the net regularly in the 1st half.

Indeed if you do fancy a game that would see both teams scoring and you have found an away side that has a decent record of scoring away from home in the first half then an alternative maybe to back the away side to score over 0.5 Goals in the first half and if this is the case then I think you will find that the odds on offer are far better than the price offered on Both teams to Score. However once again you should do your due diligence if you are not receiving value on the Both teams to score market it is unlikely that you will be receiving any value on the away side to score Over 0.5 goals in the first half.

BETTING ON THE ’NO’ ON BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

I personally like going against the grain in these markets and you can follow my NO on both teams to score selections during the season on goal.com

However as we have seen from the stats as well as looking at the general trends it is important that you profile your matches by using software such as Betformpro

When placing this bet as with all bets it is imperative that you are placing your money at the best odds available and due to the bookmakers over round and the fact that firms like Pinnacle do not take these bets you are almost certainly better placing these bets on Betfair even with the commission you will still probably be backing at the best odds.

Finally I want to show you something based around the popular accumulators punters are lead in to by the many of the high street bookmakers such as the Super 6 Coupon offered by Betfred.

 

Let’s say you pick 6 selections for each round of matches in the football calendar (38) and with your new found knowledge from above you have calculated on average 5% value on each selection. These selection are priced at - 1.94, 1.74, 1.92, 1.76, 1.87 & 1.78.

 

How many times on average in a season do you think you would land your accumulator?

 

The answer is once and should you be losing just 5% on each selection from backing poor value selections, when you do eventually get a winner, and if we say on this occasion it is on the 38th attempt, you would still be out of pocket to the tune of 10 points, which even if you were placing just £10 per bet it is a quite substantial £100 or a 26% loss on investment.

 

 

IN SUMMARY

If you are looking to have a bet on the both teams to score market, do not be frightened of going against the grain and backing NO.  Many people seem to find this something difficult to get their head around, hence why the bookmakers in general under-price the YES.

However as highlighted above if this is to happen then the away side will probably have to score in the first half so ensure you profile each game and look for the away sides teams that tend to start fast.

As far as the goals galore multiple bet is concerned, if you are taking you’re betting at all seriously then as we have seen from the statistics this is certainly a bet to avoid.

 

Article Written by Pete Nordsted & Danny Jaques

 

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