This Saturday lunchtime sees a match where both sides need the points for different reasons as Sunderland take on Spurs at the Stadium of Light. The game kicks off at 1245 GMT.
Sunderland come into this game off the back of a great win against the Champions Manchester City. And indeed taking this further they have now won three of their last four matches the first of which was a 3-0 victory over bottom side Reading which was followed by last weekend’s second victory when they defeated Southampton 1-0 at St Mary’s.
Before getting too excited about this current form it should be remembered that previous to Wednesdays victory against the champions we have to go back until March 2012 to find the last time that Sunderland beat a team at home that were not in the bottom six.
Sunderlands records at home to teams of Spurs grading reads won two, drawn six and lost two and against Spurs the recent record at the Stadium of Light reads Sunderland two wins, two draws and Spurs one win. So when Sunderland play teams of Spurs grading they are generally difficult to beat.
Sunderland can be backed at 3.95 However if you do fancy them to do well then as can be seen by their recent home form the draw should certainly be taken into consideration and Sunderland can be backed on the Asian handicap +0.25 goals at 2.15. This means that should the game end a draw then you will receive half of your odds.
The draw is priced at 3.44 and again this has to be given some serious consideration especially given Sunderland’s recent home record to teams of Spurs grading.
Spurs have a fairly solid away record against teams of Sunderlands stature which reads won seven, drawn two and lost one and they will be desperate for the three points to keep up their challenge of a top four place.
Spurs can be backed at 2.10 and recent away performances suggest they have goals in them and they have found the net in every away game this season.
As far as goals are concerned then when the two sides play similar opposition we get completely opposite stats with Over 2.5 being seen in only three of Sunderlands last 10 home and in seven of Spurs last 10 away. However, generally three or more goals have been seen in all nine of Spurs away games this season. With this in mind over 2.5 goals can be backed at 2.06 and this looks a reasonable call.
In summary history suggests this will not be easy for Spurs but I can see them scoring and despite Sunderlands recent home victory you do question their ability to put the ball in the net on a consistent basis. Given the above I believe the best Sunderland came hope for is a point and I expect Spurs to be too strong here and will back them -0.25 goals at 1.81. This means should the game end a draw then you lose half your stake.