La Liga Sunday 29th January 2012 Kick off 20.30 GMT
Ratings: Malaga 2.32 Draw 3.57 Sevilla 3.44
Bookmakers: Malaga 2.25 Draw 3.40 Sevilla 3.50
Ratings Summary:
The ratings are pretty much in line with what the bookmakers are
offering
STATS
Malaga
Last 15 Home Games
W9 D3 L3
- Over 2.5 goals 9 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 6 matches
- Both teams scored in 7 matches
- Scored 1st in 3 games
Last 10 Home v Similar opposition
W4 D4 L2
- Over 2.5 goals 5 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 5 matches
- Both teams scored in 5 matches
Sevilla
Last 15 Away Games
W4 D7 L4
- Over 2.5 goals 5 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 10 matches
- Both teams scored in 6 matches
- Scored 1st in 6 matches
Last 10 Away v Similar opposition
W2 D7 L1
- Over 2.5 goals 5 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 5 matches
- Both teams scored in 6 matches
Head to head at Malaga
- Malaga 0 Draw 1 Sevilla 1
- Over 2.5 goals in 3 matches
- Both teams scored in 3 matches
The ratings are very much in line with what the bookmakers
are offering on this game.
Malaga can be backed at 5/4 (2.25) with Stan James and this is priced about right. If you do fancy
Malaga to win this game we would certainly suggest keeping the draw on your side, they can be backed on the Asian Handicap -0.25 goals at 9/10 (1.90) with 188 Bet which means that in the result of a draw half your stake is returned.
The draw can be backed at 12/5 3.40) with Coral and this doesn’t offer any real value but in a game with a strong draw bias it must be considered.
Sevilla are priced at 5/2 (3.50) with Victor Chandler and this price looks about right. If you do fancy Sevilla to do well then your best option is to keep the draw on your side and they can be backed on the Asian Handicap +0.25 goals at 21/20 (2.05) with Bet 365.
As far as goals are concerned then we have some mixed stats with these 2 teams, but there has been +2.5 goals in 7 of the last 10 Malaga home matches and +3.5 goals in 5 of the last 10 Sevilla away matches against similar opposition. Over 2.5 goals available at Evens (2.00) with Ladbrokes which is priced about right, especially looking at the recent form of both sides, we would suggest leaving this market alone.
Both Teams to score also looks mixed having featured in 6 of the last 10 against similar opposition for Sevilla, but in only 2 of their 9 away games played this season. Both Teams to Score is available at 5/6 1.83) Ladbrokes which looks a little short.
2/3 goals looks of no real appeal as this has been the total in only 2 of Sevilla’s last 11 away games and in 3 of Malaga’s last 10 home games. 2/3 goals can be backed at 20/21 (1.95) with bet365 and this holds little attraction.
Finally looking at the stats of Sevilla we should maybe expect a tight start to the game and Sevilla have been level at the break in 10 of their last 15 away games and 5 of the last 7 against similar opposition. The half time draw can be backed at 6/5 (2.20) with Bet365 and this looks to offer some reasonable value given the above.
Today’s Free Bet Advice
Back Half Time Draw at 6/5 (2.20) with Bet365
