Serie A Sunday 15th December 2011 Kick off 19.45 GMT
Ratings: AC Milan 1.69 Draw 3.85 Inter Milan 6.67
Bookmakers: AC Milan 2.28 Draw 3.40 Inter Milan 3.70
Ratings Summary:
The ratings are suggesting there is some value in AC Milans current price
STATS
AC Milan
Last 15 Home Games
W12 D3 L0
- Over 2.5 goals 10 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 5 matches
- Both teams scored in 5 matches
- Scored 1st in 12 games
Last 10 Home v (Juve, Inter & Roma)
W5 D1 L4
- Over 2.5 goals 7 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 3 matches
- Both teams scored in 5 matches
Inter Milan
Last 15 Away Games
W7 D3 L5
- Over 2.5 goals 7 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 8 matches
- Both teams scored in 9 matches
- Scored 1st in 11 matches
Last 10 Away v (Juve, Milan & Roma)
W2 D1 L7
- Over 2.5 goals 6 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 4 matches
- Both teams scored in 4 matches
Head to head at AC Milan
- AC Milan 3 Draw 0 Inter Milan 2
- Over 2.5 goals in 4 matches
- Both teams scored in 2 matches
The ratings are suggesting that there is good value in backing AC Milan to win this game. AC Milan are in very good home form at the moment and can be backed at 6/5 (2.20) with William Hills and this is a value call and we would not really look to enhance this price in any way.
The draw can be backed at 23/10 (3.30) with Corals and although this has to be given some serious consideration this offers no real value at its current price and we would pass this over.
Inter Milan are on a good run themselves having won their last 5 matches including their last 3 away. Inter Milan can be backed at 14/5 (3.80) with Victor Chandler and this offers not much value. However if you do fancy Inter to do well then you are best keeping the draw on your side and
they can be backed +0.25 goals at 21/20 (2.05) with Bet 365. This means should the game end a draw then you will receive half of your odds. Should you be convinced Inter will not lose this game then you could be more aggressive with your staking.
As far as goals are concerned then there looks to be some value in backing 3 or more goals as this has been seen in 7 of Milans last 10 home games to big 4 sides and in 6 of Inters last 10 away to Big 4 sides. Also this has been seen in 4 of the last 5 head to heads when Milan have been the home club. Over 2.5 goals can be backed at 11/10 (2.10) with William Hills and this looks a decent proposition.
There are just a few too many mixed stats to make a call on both teams to score but 2/3 goals looks to make for some interest and this has been seen in 9 of Inters last 15 away games and in 6 of Milans last 10 at home to big 4 sides. 2/3 goals can be backed at 20/21 (1.95) with Bet 365 and this looks to cover a good few options and is worthy of consideration.
Finally there could be some value in looking for more action in the 2nd half. There have been more goals in the 2nd half in 7 of Milans last 10 home games to Big 4 sides and in 6 of Inters last 10 away games to Big 4 sides also the second half has been the highest scoring in 7 of Inters opening 8 away games this season. The 2nd half to be the highest scoring can be backed at 6/5 2.20) with Corals and this looks a reasonable option given the above.
Today’s Free Advice
Back AC Milan to Win 6/5 (2.20) with William Hills
