Bundesliga Two Monday 05 December 2011 Kick off 19:15 BST
Ratings: Duisburg 3.33 Draw 3.33 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2.50
Bookmakers: Duisburg 3.30 Draw 3.40 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2.25
Ratings Summary:
The ratings are pretty much in line with what the bookmakers are offering
STATS
Duisburg
Last 15 Home Games
W7 D2 L6
- Over 2.5 goals 9 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 6 matches
- Both teams scored in 7 matches
- Scored 1st in 6 games
Last 10 Home v Top 6 Sides
W5 D2 L3
- Over 2.5 goals 5 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 5 matches
- Both teams scored in 4 matches
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 15 Away Games
W4 D8 L3
- Over 2.5 goals 6 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 9 matches
- Both teams scored in 11 matches
- Scored 1st in 2 matches
Last 10 Away v Bottom Half Sides
W5 D3 L2
- Over 2.5 goals 6 matches
- Under 2.5 goals in 4 matches
- Both teams scored in 5 matches
Head to head at Duisberg
- Duisberg 2 Draw 0 Dusseldorf 0
- Over 2.5 goals in 1 matches
- Both teams scored in 0 matches
The ratings are pretty much in line with what the bookmakers are offering however they are suggesting that there may not be the value in backing Dusseldorf. Fortuna Dusseldorf can be backed at 5/4 (2.25) with Victor Chandler. However this price does not look to offer that much value. If you do fancy Dusseldorf to win then ditching them to win by 1 or 2 goals makes sense as Duisburg look quite a hard team to break down on home soil and 5 of their last 6 home defeats have come by this margin. Dutching Dusseldorf to win by 1 or 2 goals pays a shade under 6/4 (2.47) and looks a reasonable call.
There is a strong draw bias to the game and this can be backed at 12/5 (3.40) with Betfred and this offers some good value and the draw is very worthy of consideration.
Duisburg can be backed at 12/5 (3.40) with Stan James and this looks to offer some value as Duisburg have won 5 of their last 8 home matches to top 6 sides. However if you do fancy Duisburg to do well then we would certainly suggest that you keep the draw on your side and Duisburg can be backed on the Asian handicap + 0.25 goals at a shade under Evens (1.99) with Stan James and again this looks to offer some good value.
As far as goals are concerned then there are some mixed stats involving the 2 sides although is a slight bias to 2 or less and this has been seen in 9 of Dusseldorfs last 15 away games . Under 2.5 goals can be backed at Evens (2.00) with Victor Chandler.
As far as the other goal markets are concerned there are too many contrasting stats to make an informed opinion but we would certainly avoid both teams to score which can be backed at a very skinny 4/6 (1.67) with Bet 365.
Finally the 1st half has been the highest scoring in none of Dusseldorfs last 15 away games and the 2nd half has been the highest scoring in 8 of Duisburgs last 15 home games. The 2nd half to be the highest scoring can be backed at 11/10 2.10) with corals and this looks a reasonable if not strong option given the above.
Today’s Free bet advice
Back The Draw 12/5 3.40) with Betfred
